Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.437103 0.513716 0.597832 0.696771 0.809680 0.934228 1.081715
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.321368 0.423370 0.546460 0.704747 0.901571 1.136847 1.437798
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.245830 0.357840 0.504470 0.707700 0.978850 1.324552 1.794405
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.197333 0.313706 0.477241 0.718871 1.060816 1.520474 2.176590
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.159994 0.275791 0.449327 0.720769 1.125235 1.694327 2.541230
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125898 0.234836 0.408527 0.695277 1.143611 1.801463 2.818263
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.109596 0.218812 0.402387 0.719505 1.235462 2.018981 3.267738
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095283 0.203060 0.393532 0.736836 1.316373 2.224556 3.712884
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087611 0.197775 0.401188 0.781509 1.444075 2.510376 4.299183
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074606 0.179456 0.382546 0.777594 1.489366 2.667595 4.693377
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062966 0.161419 0.361404 0.765824 1.518677 2.799174 5.053135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053828 0.146779 0.344400 0.759037 1.554944 2.943279 5.440717
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047777 0.138148 0.338712 0.774203 1.634113 3.169133 5.985500
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041929 0.128743 0.329987 0.782250 1.700737 3.378120 6.515881
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036546 0.119252 0.319522 0.785221 1.757489 3.573012 7.033601
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032501 0.112352 0.313802 0.797349 1.832931 3.806456 7.633137
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028430 0.104346 0.304118 0.799388 1.887713 4.004547 8.179792
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023479 0.092345 0.282504 0.771471 1.877344 4.077712 8.500435
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021652 0.089658 0.284215 0.797986 1.984414 4.383900 9.272397
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019703 0.086048 0.282885 0.816947 2.076465 4.665893 10.013126
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019023 0.086682 0.293267 0.865805 2.238394 5.096403 11.060207
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016609 0.080361 0.283021 0.861525 2.280224 5.286384 11.649737
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014267 0.073552 0.270116 0.848653 2.300889 5.433627 12.162148